NFL Week 5 odds picks Banking on winless Jaguars and Lions plus more best bets
NFL Week 5 odds picks Banking on winless Jaguars and Lions plus more best bets
Blog Article
Do you know how NFL coaches are always talking about taking it one game at a time? Well, I'm taking the same approach to this column. I'm taking it one week at a time, just looking to stack winning weeks on top of each other. I went 2-1 last week to improve to 7-5 on the season for a return of 1.45 units so far.Maybe that doesn't seem like a lot to you, but when it comes to betting the NFL, anything on the positive side of the ledger puts you ahead of the majority. This week I'm getting us into the grime and the muck. We've got some games on the card that might not be the most enticing to watch, but they are the smartest bets available to us. We're not here to look pretty. We're here to stack those winning weeks. There's a lot of attention on the Jaguars right now, thanks to Urban Meyer and his Saturday out with the fellas last week, and it's overshadowing what was a pretty nice performance from the Jaguars on Thursday against Cincinnati. It was the first time all season that the Jaguars' offense approached something nearing competency. I think this team can carry that performance Rich Hill Jersey this weekend against a Titans defense that has allowed 2.41 points Kenta Maeda Jersey per po se sion this season.On the other side, Tenne see should be healthier on offense this week after not having and last week. While the Jags offense looked solid last week, the defense hasn't shown many signs of life, and I think we've got a situation where a couple of bad teams are going to score plenty of points against each other.Prediction: Titans 27, Jaguars 24 It's important to eat your vegetables. Sure, they don't always taste as good as the other options, but they're part of a balanced diet. This week, the Texans are our vegetables. Just hold your nose and shove them down your throat as quickly as po sible because as bad as the Texans are, I'm not here to trust a team with at QB as nearly a double-digit favorite on the road. I thought I was losing my mind Sunday night with the praise Cris Collinsworth was heaping on Jones. Sure, Jones completed 77.5 percent of his pa ses in the rain against Tampa, but his average pa s covered 5.15 air yards. Of the 40 pa ses Jones threw last week, 24 were either thrown behind the line of scrimmage or fewer than 5 yards away from it. Sure, Jones can dink and dunk the Patriots to a win here, but he won't dink and dunk them to a 10-point win.Prediction: Patriots 23, Texans 16Which picks can you make with confidence, and whichcontender goes down hard?, and find out. The Lions lost to the 24-14 in Chicago last week and are back on the road for another divisional matchup this week. While the final score doesn't show it, the Lions weren't awful against the Bears. From a succe s-rate standpoint, it was one of their better performances of the season, and a lot like our last pick, I'm not ready to trust the Vikings as nearly double-digit favorites.The Vikings' offense has not been great. While Minnesota is scoring 23.5 points per game as a team, its offense has scored 21.75 points per game, which ranks 18th in the league. Its average of 1.98 points per po se Enrique Hernandez Jersey sion ranks 21st and is the same as Detroit's. Then there's the Minnesota defense that ranks 16th in the league in succe s rate. Don't get me wrong, the Vikings are the better team in this matchup and should win, but they're more mediocre than good. I don't trust mediocre teams to cover spreads this large in the NFL. Prediction: Vikings 28, Lions 21RecordUnitsLast Week2-1+0.9Season7-5+1.45
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